BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Air Force
Class: 1A Class Rank: 80 Overall: (5-1) Overall Strength = 147.72
Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (3-1) | District: 1A-01 Record: (4-1)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 09-05-2026 Home W 136.15 34 0 1B 72 (2-4) Duquesne -9.64 * 13.44 43.64
2 09-12-2026 Home L * * 141.59 32 38 1A 55 (6-1) North Dakota St -4.20 -11.47 -1.80
3 09-26-2026 Away W * * 145.31 36 33 1A 102 (2-4) Nevada -0.49 -4.25 3.49
4 10-03-2026 Home W * 145.55 14 9 1A 90 (2-4) Navy -0.25 8.00 5.25
5 10-10-2026 Away W * * 152.98 28 7 1A 133 (0-6) Northern Illinois 7.19 4.10 13.81
6 10-17-2026 Home W * * 153.19 41 31 1A 87 (4-3) UNLV 7.39 1.40 2.61
7 10/23/2026 Away * * 1A 125 (4-3) Wyoming 12.37
8 10/31/2026 Home * 1A 88 (3-3) Connecticut 5.44
9 11/07/2026 Away * 1A 63 (4-2) Army -6.90
10 11/14/2026 Home * * 1A 122 (4-3) San Jose St 16.67
11 11/20/2026 Home * * 1A 137 (1-6) UTEP 29.95
12 11/27/2026 Away * * 1A 51 (5-1) New Mexico -10.71
Averages 145.79 30.8 19.7
Best game: 153.19 = 10 point win over UNLV
Worst game: 136.15 = 34 point win over Duquesne
Team stdev: 6.59